Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 14.088265 16.109309 18.262818 20.722200 23.446860 26.366675 29.725835
2025-10-19 11.232872 13.960316 17.060993 20.823615 25.241335 30.238476 36.291991
2025-10-26 9.162301 12.162185 15.749175 20.307687 25.896125 32.471303 40.735368
2025-11-02 7.720645 10.853338 14.765428 19.934766 26.503081 34.483193 44.814381
2025-11-09 6.586189 9.760478 13.884516 19.527617 26.927985 36.173483 48.451128
2025-11-16 5.690488 8.861664 13.136049 19.174956 27.323477 37.760246 51.934304
2025-11-23 4.876263 7.973268 12.300053 18.603704 27.342589 38.799767 54.687106
2025-11-30 4.397348 7.508509 11.994399 18.706575 28.230299 40.966455 58.939847
2025-12-07 3.974104 7.076994 11.688789 18.766537 29.030480 43.012391 63.066385
2025-12-14 3.639620 6.744594 11.492981 18.954072 29.993314 45.286883 67.546779
2025-12-21 3.306604 6.377320 11.208580 18.978095 30.701051 47.208875 71.577966
2025-12-28 3.115721 6.224590 11.238880 19.466377 32.090807 50.116830 77.047427
2026-01-04 2.897190 6.006579 11.153538 19.776111 33.237002 52.731605 82.211681
2026-01-11 2.657931 5.726605 10.943696 19.870956 34.052722 54.885562 86.773236
2026-01-18 2.338910 5.264851 10.391610 19.374465 33.922835 55.631019 89.301294
2026-01-25 2.079445 4.884832 9.945627 19.015680 33.976241 56.629818 92.203495
2026-02-01 1.843874 4.523256 9.500534 18.624019 33.946669 57.484980 94.895978
2026-02-08 1.641560 4.204177 9.104015 18.284820 33.974876 58.412895 97.703025
2026-02-15 1.434188 3.847865 8.607649 17.735467 33.622740 58.726529 99.570566
2026-02-22 1.326562 3.695152 8.482806 17.834386 34.346526 60.732361 104.061259
2026-03-01 1.223825 3.540810 8.341667 17.892046 34.996071 62.630926 108.423342
2026-03-08 1.142837 3.427046 8.271103 18.072389 35.856876 64.883475 113.381414
2026-03-15 1.053005 3.280723 8.122532 18.095493 36.440140 66.697261 117.685214